Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.071043 0.078684 0.087073 0.097011 0.108527 0.121525 0.137412
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.058867 0.069045 0.081129 0.096724 0.116603 0.141494 0.175679
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.051344 0.062945 0.077593 0.097867 0.125898 0.164407 0.223444
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.045959 0.058367 0.074840 0.099012 0.134873 0.188443 0.279636
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041791 0.054635 0.072410 0.099832 0.143118 0.212930 0.344345
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.038234 0.051196 0.069769 0.099669 0.149508 0.235670 0.414127
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.035048 0.047867 0.066775 0.098337 0.153498 0.254988 0.484867
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033148 0.046183 0.065985 0.100302 0.163361 0.287535 0.599002
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030772 0.043526 0.063340 0.098694 0.166288 0.306964 0.691842
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029218 0.041982 0.062286 0.099649 0.174223 0.339272 0.838747
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027546 0.040097 0.060457 0.098914 0.178557 0.364646 0.982683
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026423 0.038998 0.059827 0.100298 0.187592 0.404471 1.208780
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025334 0.037889 0.059111 0.101501 0.196720 0.448652 1.501287
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024101 0.036447 0.057675 0.101088 0.202099 0.484770 1.805919
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023202 0.035504 0.057050 0.102255 0.211601 0.537700 2.281277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022382 0.034638 0.056478 0.103449 0.221490 0.596909 2.917461
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021589 0.033758 0.055798 0.104310 0.230741 0.659039 3.741710
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020739 0.032718 0.054720 0.104133 0.237126 0.714236 4.696146
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019820 0.031496 0.053186 0.102720 0.239673 0.755740 5.686620
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019342 0.031047 0.053143 0.104803 0.253253 0.854603 7.981133
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018514 0.029902 0.051608 0.103098 0.254669 0.897855 9.754030
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018007 0.029327 0.051194 0.104111 0.265216 0.995892 13.707194
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017367 0.028464 0.050119 0.103331 0.269630 1.064986 18.057314